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When it comes to betting in the NBA, who does the covering and who does not. It is not necessary to have anything to do with the club’s records, or the composition of the squads. Some teams get more action than others, and other teams, the betting public ignore, and they won’t touch them with a barge pole.
Here’s a few tips on getting the edge when betting in the association: This year the away teams total 365-348-12 (51.19%) against the spread. Those confined to their home
towns are 348-356-12 (48.81%) against the maker of odds.
The season’s favourites in the NBA have covered 48% of the spread, and whether the teams are favourites at home or away, they are all around 50%, so what makes for winning or losing? Maybe the Detroit Pistons have a pull with 4 of the 5 starters picked as reserves at the All Star Game. Maybe it’s the Mavericks winning through Februaly? How about Kobe’s team? The Raptors are 27-20-2 currently against the spread. Behind them are the Bobcats and Magic. Well you want to know why sub.500 teams perform so well against the spread, although they lose quite often, these teams are loaded with NBA players, and are not likely to get beaten every night. One must also take cognizance of the fact that the top teams might come into the game without all their guns blazing. The bookies know where the action is. With teams like Detroit and San Antonio, the punters are going to worry if the line is 5 or 8. If the Pistons are playing Orlando on the road, the bookies will be well aware of this. Greg Jorssen spokesman for Bodog says the punters are ignoring these struggling teams, betters back the big boys, such as Detroit and Spurs, while the Raptors and Charlotte are passed over. These teams receive very little exposure, compared to the big boys who get more than their fair share. The Raptors lost all 8 of their first games, and were on average 5.2 dog per game. During their next 8 games, they were given an average of 8.4 points per game. They managed to cover 6, even though they lost 7 of them. Betters refrain from betting on a team 1-15 , those that did bet on Torronto got good returns on the inflated spreads, and reaped the benefits.
To bet on the better team gets more difficult as the season expands, because vets and new boys vie with each other to get a reputation in the league.
Who’s getting nowhere fast? The Chicago Bulls are 21-28, the Seattle Sonics are 17-31-1 ats, and the Washington Wizards are just 18-27-2. These have in common the fact that last year, they were all play off teams, and will provide competition again this year. So what do you do? Follow a side in the play off for a couple of weeks, and observe if and when they cover, and against who they cover. Note who is returning from a big road win, they might be ready for an anti-climax , do your homework, and watch the possible permutations with care. |
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